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Sure, McConnel is being nakedly partisan. Filibusters and votes expend political capital. . Of course thinking that something is probable does not equal thinking it certain. (Buy Super Bookie, by my friend Art Manteris, for the details.). Hold the presses (or whatever the digital-age equivalent of that is), this is BIG NEWS! What are you even talking about? And when it comes to norms stuff like the Garland consideration, it’s clear we cannot stop you and the political price is not high. Just because you don’t think that Garland doesn’t have extreme views, doesn’t mean that the Republicans would agree, so I would suggest that you should be wary of calling this a false equivalence. It is senseless blather to demand politics be removed from political processes. They didn’t say the Constitution compelled the vote, they said the constitutional duty to advise and consent has resulted in a course of dealings that, normatively, should cause the Senate to hold hearings on and vote on a nominee. Federal Claims court Tax court Appeals for Veterans claims Military commission review Appeals for Armed Forces. Also, I suspect these predictions are not independent of each other and hope Silver will share what his model says about the Democrats winning all three. Fact check:'Kingdom of God' comment by Amy Coney Barrett lacks context in meme. If the Senate was bound and determined, there is little the McConnell could have done to stop them. (It does make you look more illiterate, since you didn’t even spell it correctly.). If liberals are going to be true to their argument that the constitution compels such a vote then they should do so in good faith now…. You sound very angry and upset about people daring to not be on your partisan side. Yes, but “We’re gonna break the rules, but you have to obey them” is not a realistic attitude. I mean that deterrence is ineffective if the deterrent is far removed from the crime, by the passage of time. He made very clear at the time that when the Senate and White House are in the hands of the same party, then a confirmation could happen. Even if you think Trump is likely to win (as I do), that does not mean it is a sure thing. It’s not a contradiction, but given you think it one, I am not sure what could be said to make you understand. More of your usual blah-blah. ThomasD….IMO, ‘rejection’ in this circumstance (SCOTUS nomination) requires an action, an actual vote on the nominee. But there are no shalls for the Senate, which can do what it likes. It’ll take some work to get us back to normal. Had he held a vote, Justice Garland would be now telling the Democrats to shut up about THIS vacancy, and he’d be right to do so. Senate procedure has changed since Tyler, both in general and specifically in regards to nominations. Congress? If his nominees are predictably the spawn of Satan, then defeating all or any of them, on principle, is a perfectly legitimate goal – to preserve the Rule of Law in the Republic. Rutherford B. Hayes nominated Stanley Matthews to the bench three month after James A. Garfield won the 1880 presidential election, but the Senate took no action. Another procedural change is that SCOTUS nominees are now first considered by the judiciary committee by senate rules, and that’s been true since the late 19th century, but wasn’t true during Tyler’s presidency). Does McConnell have the votes. The people also flipped the Senate in 2014. They have *always* lost as a result. You think it’s both sides. Once again, we will keep our promise. It’s not a norm; no on believed it then, even. The selection of judges is a political process. In a speech delivered on the Senate floor on June 25, 1992, then-Senator Biden responded to rumors that Justice Harry Blackmun’s retirement was imminent.

Who is this “the Left” and “they”? Which given that I like fiscally conservative and socially moderate policies, and I prefer not having to think of government much at all instead of having this administrations corruption thrust in my face like one of Trump’s affairs (or rape victims) every damn day? The following will (right now) give you favorable odds: Betfair Betsson Bovada Bwin Smarkets SpreadEx Vbet.

No comment from Bernstein on the statement from a prominent Republican Senator that, “The American people‎ should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice. If Dems get the ability to add seats to SCOTUS, my advice to them is think big big big. It’s more likely that he wins and the Senate remains Republican. “It was in place for soldiers during the Civil War and then stopped.”. Perhaps more importantly, because of the short time frame that they’d have their seat, you’d pretty much know in advance the *specific* cases that they would be ruling on. Republicans likely will have a reliable picture of what they’ll be confronting in 2021 by mid-November, making it likely the self-preservation instinct would disincline efforts to delay implementing the results of the senatorial election in Arizona. The alternative to praying is by winning future elections. Everybody’s going to try to get their guys on the court and keep the other guys’ guys off. IMO, ‘rejection’ in this circumstance (SCOTUS nomination) requires an action, Yes and no, but mostly no. Of course DB would also be within his rights to disclose any such extreme provocation if it exists. They have a lot worse to lose election-wise by alienating voters than by waiting on the nomination. I don’t know him. And Krychek_2 is clearly referring to Kennedy being confirmed. If it had been a longer period of time, you might have a different argument, but this is much too close. It was Gorsuch. The Senate has a constitutional right to prevent the President making appointments without its consent. A new book shows how the Baltimore Police Department let dirty cops flourish right under its nose. I don’t think there was a graceful way to handle that situation.

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